Thursday, October 21, 2021

The left's intellectual chaos

In our country today, chaos is on the rise. Everywhere we look, we see craziness and absurdity. We're dumbstruck.

Our southern border has been erased, shoplifting has been decriminalized, parents are domestic terrorists, the police should be defunded, most college campuses are mini–North Koreas, merit and excellence have no value, our children are taught to despise their own country, Joe Biden is president, and the most important thing in the world is a vaccination.

The cause of such strange leftist behavior is intellectual chaos. The left simply does not think well. To make choices, leftists use emotions and feelings rather than reason and logic.

Leftists are doing everything they can to obliterate civilization, whether it's Shakespeare or law and order. If they reject the wisdom of the ages, what are they left with? Starting from scratch?

Leftists simply hate civilization, one of the countless things they hate.

It is far harder to go from chaos to order than from order to chaos. It takes far longer to create civilization than to destroy it. Not recognizing the importance of civilization signals a disordered mind.

The left makes a mess of language. Leftists distort the meanings of words and rarely define the words they use. Douglas Murray observed recently that the left has its own secret dictionary — "equity means discrimination, fairness is unfairness, and justice actually means revenge."

Without clear and consistent definitions, ordered thinking is impossible, leaving intellectual chaos to fill the void. If you eliminate borders in one part of life, you diminish respect for borders everywhere. Borders, physical and mental, are necessary parts of order.

How is it possible for leftists to advocate socialism when the objective truth is that socialism leads always and everywhere to misery and tyranny?

Dennis Prager often reminds us that truth is not a left-wing value. Postmodernist leftists argue there's no such thing as objective truth. They teach that "truth" is a self-serving fiction of the oppressors. However, if truth does not exist everything is permitted. There are no boundaries to what can be thought or believed. Everyone has his "own personal truth." Reality is whatever one wishes it to be.

The left is like a bull in a China shop. A bull neither knows nor cares about the damage it does. Leftist politicians have that same attitude. A bull should not be in a China shop. Leftists should not be in control of our country.

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The left's intellectual chaos October 21, 2021

Ron Ross Ph.D. is a former economics professor and author of The Unbeatable Market. Ron resides in Arcata, California and is a founder of Premier Financial Group, a wealth management firm located in Eureka, California. He is a native of Tulsa, Oklahoma and can be reached at rossecon@gmail.com.

Wednesday, August 4, 2021

Lockdown lessons

Be wary of experts. Most of their advice during the pandemic has been wrong and harmful. Experts’ knowledge is typically compartmentalized. They are not “big picture” thinkers which is why they fail to consider collateral damage. The lockdown may have reduced the number of COVID deaths, but it has increased the amount of depression and number of suicides, especially among those age 18 and younger. The postponement and cancellation of medical appointments have resulted in thousands of premature deaths.

Respect your own common sense as well as your instincts. Thinking has been on vacation since the lockdowns were imposed. Keep in mind that your leaders’ objectives are often the opposite of yours.

Never take radical action without overwhelming evidence that it will work. The authorities took all manner of drastic actions and weren’t the least bit interested in offering evidence and they still aren’t. Unelected bureaucrats, who know nothing about us, dictated how we live our lives down to the tiniest details. The authorities coerced hundreds of millions of people to wear masks. They assumed that would reduce transmission. There is now evidence that masks are worse than useless.

Be extremely reluctant to commit sweeping violations of the Constitution. The Constitution is our country’s greatest asset and our north star. Ignoring it or trampling on it is never a good idea. The Constitution is what makes us who we are. We ought to treat it like the treasure it is.

Always consider both costs and benefits and make best-effort projections of both. The costs of virtually every aspect of the lockdown were more than the benefits, usually far more.

Calculate probabilities when making choices. “Expected value” is an action’s benefit or cost multiplied by the probability of it happening. For anyone under age 50, the probability of dying from COVID was minuscule, i.e., about one one hundredth of one percent.

Many of the actions taken in the lockdown were unprecedented. There are probably good reasons they had never been done before. “Fools rush in where wise men fear to tread.”

Monomania is a killer. For eighteen months now the assumption has been that absolutely nothing compares to the importance of COVID-19, that the rest of life must stop no matter what.

Be suspicious when someone is obsessed with forcing you to do something, i.e. getting vaccinated. Ask yourself, “What’s actually going on here?” Always be skeptical.

Have the courage and honesty to admit to being wrong and have the discipline to change course. Few mistakes in history have persisted as long as those related to the lockdown. Face saving was all that mattered.

Don’t allow hatred of Donald Trump to dictate your behavior. We could have prevented thousands of deaths if not for the insane objections to ivermectin, hydroxychloroquine, and vitamin D. Why those drugs and vitamins? Because they had been recommended by Donald Trump. Ivermectin and hydroxychloroquine have been used for decades with no notable side effects and cost next to nothing.

Florida and Sweden didn’t impose lockdowns and COVID death rates there have been lower than states and countries that did. They were the equivalent of control groups and ought to at least make everyone suspicious of the effectiveness of lockdowns.

Bias is a hidden distortion of facts and information. Be aware that bias is more pervasive than ever in this era of everything being politicized.

Is safety more important than freedom? Sad to say, freedom has lost its value for far too many Americans.
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Lockdown lessons August 4, 2021

Ron Ross Ph.D. is a former economics professor and author of The Unbeatable Market. Ron resides in Arcata, California and is a founder of Premier Financial Group, a wealth management firm located in Eureka, California. He is a native of Tulsa, Oklahoma and can be reached at rossecon@gmail.com.

Wednesday, July 28, 2021

The education establishment self-destructs

As Mark Twain put it, "First God made idiots. That was for practice. Then he made school boards."

Until a few months ago, most people admired public school teachers. Not anymore. Teachers have declared war on students and their parents.

What teachers have done is part of a bigger picture, and it's not pretty. They have chosen to join professional sports, the media, higher education, and big corporations in a woke crusade against their own country and its traditions. Ironically, they have done as much damage to themselves as they have to the country.

In his Wealth of Nations (1776), Adam Smith wrote, "The greatest improvement in the productive powers of labor, and the greater part of the skill, dexterity, and judgement with which it is anywhere directed, or applied, seem to have been the effects of division of labor."

In other words: Stick to your knitting! Instead, teachers, school boards, journalists, actors, athletes, and CEOs have all decided it's their job to instruct the rest of us on how to remake our economy and culture.

Again, to quote Adam Smith, "[c]onsumption is the sole end and purpose of all production; and the interest of the producer ought to be attended to, only so far as it may be necessary for promoting that of the customer."

Public school teachers, however, work not for their customers — i.e. students and parents — but for school boards, the government, politicians, and their unions.

In his 1962 book Capitalism and Freedom, Milton Friedman wrote:

If one were to seek deliberately to devise a system of recruiting and paying teachers to repel the imaginative and daring and self-confident and to attract the dull and uninspiring, he could hardly do better than to imitate the system of requiring teaching certificates and enforcing standard salary structures that has developed in the larger city and state-wide systems.

Needing only a push from us, public education is a rotting tree ready to topple.

The traditional definition of socialism is "government ownership and operation of the means of production." Public schools are owned and operated by the government. Our public school system fits that definition of socialism. Socialism always fails, and public schools fail for the same reasons.

Society has no greater duty than educating each new generation. Leaving it in the hands of government is a horrible mistake.

Public school teachers did not deserve the respect we gave them. It was possible only because of a lack of transparency. One positive result of teachers destroying the respect they had is that it's exposed who they've been all along. Their recent behavior has, at last, made the gravity of the situation crystal-clear and given us the resolve to do something about it.
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The education establishment self-destructs July 28, 2021

Ron Ross Ph.D. is a former economics professor and author of The Unbeatable Market. Ron resides in Arcata, California and is a founder of Premier Financial Group, a wealth management firm located in Eureka, California. He is a native of Tulsa, Oklahoma and can be reached at rossecon@gmail.com.

Sunday, July 18, 2021

Now is the Time to Get Serious About Nuclear Energy


While no other “carbon free” method of producing electricity comes even close to nuclear energy, climate change alarmists refuse to even consider the option.

If you do an objective benefit-cost analysis of nuclear energy compared to the so-called “green energies” of solar and wind you learn that green energies have serious time and space limitations. For example, you learn that with solar and wind there is a disconnect between when they’re produced and when they’re consumed. Nighttime and cloudy days happen, and the wind does not always blow, but the need for electricity goes on.

The only solution to those limitations is reliance on batteries. Batteries, of course, have their own problems. It takes at least an hour and usually eight hours to charge an electric vehicle’s batteries. It takes only five minutes to fill your gas tank.

In a recent Wall Street Journal article, “Solar Power’s Land Grab Hits a Snag: Environmentalists.” Samantha Gross of the Brookings Institution writes, “An energy system based on renewables is still an industrial-scale system, with large generation and transmission projects that people don’t necessarily want in their neighborhoods.” Mojave solar farms essentially displace the animals that were living there. Indian tribes have also protested against the projects. Several of the largest projects in the planning stages are in jeopardy of cancellation. In contrast, for access, oil and natural gas require only a 12-inch hole in the ground.

There is also a locational disconnect between the producers and users of solar and wind energy. For oil and gas, the most efficient logistical solutions are pipelines.

Top Articles 10 Reasons to Question the Election Are Masks About to Become Permanent? Classroom Cameras Won't Stop Big Education. This Will. COVID Authoritarianism Has Changed Our Polity Read More Isn't It about Time to Stop Lobbing Ridiculous Accusations at Trump? The Left's Contempt for the Masses COVID Authoritarianism Has ChangedOur Polity COVID Authoritarianism Has Changed Our Polity Democrats hate pipelines. On his first day in office, with no justification given, Joe Biden stopped cold the completion of the Keystone XL pipeline and, along with that, its thousands of high-paying jobs. We’re left with a half-completed pipeline along with rising gasoline and natural gas prices.

Wind and solar have become popular not because of any actual advantages but because leftists think and act like teenagers. They’re ruled by emotions. They fall madly in love for the flimsiest of reasons. For teenagers that lunacy doesn't last long. For environmentalists and their Democrat enablers, that emotional attachment can and often does last for decades. As Milton Friedman famously observed, “There’s nothing as permanent as a temporary government program.”

Still another policy disaster Democrats have foisted on us is ethanol. It is the most land greedy of the “green energy’ alternatives. Ethanol is a witches’ brew of politics, taxpayer confiscation, mileage reduction, and small-engine destruction.

We’re creating giant land footprints in a futile attempt to reduce our “carbon footprints.” Land footprints are real problems in the here and now. Carbon footprints are unproven, hypothetical problems in the distant future.

We now devote fully one-fourth of our corn-growing farmland to the production of ethanol. If we returned that land to growing food and fodder we would significantly reduce prices and the benefits would be felt far and wide.

An important ingredient of economic efficiency is that “resources flow to their highest valued uses.” Employing farmland to produce energy rather than food is a gross violation of that principle. Using valuable farmland for energy production is asinine.

Coercion is also a necessary part of the ethanol fiasco. In California, it's illegal to use ethanol-free gasoline on public roads. You can buy ethanol-free gasoline for your lawnmower at only a few locations and at prices even higher than California’s already highest prices in the country.

Federal mandates require virtually all gasoline to include 10 percent ethanol. There is pressure to increase that to 15 percent. Even the 10 percent gasoline reduces mileage because ethanol produces only 70 percent of the energy produced by gasoline.

Ethanol takes more energy to produce than it produces. It’s done for political, not logical or economic reasons, and we are less prosperous because of it.

California is obsessed with so-called “zero-emissions” transportation, i.e., electric vehicles. The state passed numerous laws, regulations, and subsidies in pursuit of that objective. But EVs are not currently free of carbon emissions. Fossil fuels (coal and natural gas) generate most of the electricity needed to charge their batteries. If nuclear energy generated that same electricity we could honestly say that EVs generate “zero-emissions.”

Even Elon Musk admits that there is not enough electricity generating capacity to allow widespread conversion to EVs. The only way there could be enough capacity is by resorting to nuclear power.

The last remaining nuclear plant in California is at Diablo Canyon and has been operating since 1985. It is the single largest power station in the state, generating ten percent of California’s electricity. Because of the state’s hostility toward nuclear power, it is scheduled to close in 2025. No one knows what will replace that generating capacity. It certainly will not be wind and solar. Cutting electricity generation by a tenth when the state already has barely enough electricity is criminal recklessness.

Until the past few years, blackouts and brownouts were almost unheard of. What’s changed? The answer is easy to find.

According to Robert Bryce, progressive politicians and their enabling voters have created a disastrous combination of “soaring electricity prices and ever-worsening reliability.” What’s bizarre is that it has all been deliberate. The left is obsessed with weaning humanity off its reliance on fossil fuels. Californians are now the proud possessors of the highest income-tax rates, highest sales-tax rates, highest gasoline prices, and highest housing costs in the country.

California already has laws on the books that mandate reducing “greenhouse emissions” 40 percent below 1990 levels by 2030 and 50 percent by 2050. It is irresponsible to mandate an end to fossil fuel use when there is no viable substitute in place, at least not one they’re willing to entertain. If nuclear energy is off the table, blackouts will become a way of life. California will become a ghost state. Only leftists will be happy.

Michael Shellenberger, author of best-selling Apocalypse Never, recently tweeted that “the problems of nuclear power are not technological but political.” He added, “I’ve realized just how much of the problem comes down to energy density.” Nuclear energy is the energy densest of all the currently feasible alternatives.

If we altered our attitudes about nuclear energy, it would be a game-changer. We could reduce our carbon footprint to 1980 levels. We could stop killing birds with our windmills and solar energy sites. We could return all our fertile farmland to food production. And we could eliminate the labyrinth of costly subsidies and coercive regulations, most of which do far more harm than good. We could say goodbye to blackouts and electricity rationing and hello to energy abundance.

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Now is the Time to Get Serious About Nuclear Energy July 17, 2021

Ron Ross Ph.D. is a former economics professor and author of The Unbeatable Market. Ron resides in Arcata, California and is a founder of Premier Financial Group, a wealth management firm located in Eureka, California. He is a native of Tulsa, Oklahoma and can be reached at rossecon@gmail.com.

Thursday, July 1, 2021

The inscrutable left

What are leftists afraid of? An easier question would be what are they not afraid of?

Here is a partial list of their fears: climate change, fossil fuels, Russia, maskless people, Republicans, carbon, death, words, Donald Trump, chemicals, freedom, masculinity, pipelines, meat, nuclear energy, national borders, guns, light complexions, binary genders, GMOs, debate, election audits, live births, utilizing natural resources, voter IDs, fracking, laughter, capitalism, free speech, private property, conservative values, opinions different from their opinions, pronouns, truth, statues, risk, glutens, mass extinctions, human history, order, triggers, rising sea levels, Christians, law enforcement, Israel, and traditions.

The breadth and depth of their lives are inversely proportional to the number of their fears. The walls close in on them. Their lives shrink to nothingness.

Among the wisest words ever uttered by a politician were FDR's "We have nothing to fear but fear itself — nameless, unreasoning, unjustified terror which paralyzes needed efforts to convert retreat into advance." Leftists believe, "We have everything to fear, including fears beyond imagining."

Conservatives have trouble understanding the lunacy we see on the left. Having so many fears is a partial explanation. They have so many fears that their brains are depleted, leaving no capacity for rational thought.

Having so many fears shows they're preoccupied with their own existence, which to them is the center of the universe, a universe they believe is out to get them. Actually, the universe could not care less about them. Life is unfair. Believing they're the only ones whose lives are unfair is self-obsession, plain and simple.

The school of psychology known as "transactional analysis" argues that any persistent behavior must have a "payoff." A hybrid of psychology and economics, transactional analysis emphasizes payoffs, while economics emphasizes incentives. Is there a payoff for leftists for living fear-based lives? Could there be method to their madness?

Victimhood is a popular mindset on the left, perhaps the most popular. One payoff of feeling like a victim is that it lets them escape responsibility. Many leftists hate responsibility. Conservatives believe in individual responsibility. That's too tough a challenge for leftists.

The Democrats view the January 6 trespassing of the Capitol Building as "the worst threat to our democracy since the Civil War." For them, it wasn't just trespassing; it was an "insurrection." Lunacy doesn't obey the rules of logic.

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The inscrutable left July 1, 2021

Ron Ross Ph.D. is a former economics professor and author of The Unbeatable Market. Ron resides in Arcata, California and is a founder of Premier Financial Group, a wealth management firm located in Eureka, California. He is a native of Tulsa, Oklahoma and can be reached at rossecon@gmail.com.

Friday, June 18, 2021

The damage done by probability blindness





As Bishop Joseph Butler said in 1736, "probability is the very guide of life."

The coronavirus has generated more blind fear than perhaps any other event in recorded history. That fear is blind because it ignores easily calculated probabilities.

The reported coronavirus deaths in the U.S. now stand at six hundred thousand. The population of the U.S. is approximately 330 million. When you divide deaths by the population, the number is less than two-tenths of one percent. As catastrophes go, that is a relatively small number.

There is a wide disparity of coronavirus deaths among age groups. That fact has been deliberately ignored by the authorities and the media.

Eighty percent of all deaths have occurred in the over 65 population even though that age group constitutes only 16 percent of the total population. The number of deaths in that group is 464 thousand. The total population of Americans 65 and older is 51 million. Dividing the deaths by that population gives you a probability of 0.0089, or nine-tenths of one percent.

Top Articles The Top Ten Pending Eruptions What Was California Thinking? Lester Holt: Poster Child for Media Bias The Fifty-Year War on America’s Soul Taking the Racism Test Read More Moral Legitimacy and the US Government Taking the Racism Test Taking the Racism Test The number of COVID deaths in the 49 and younger age group is twenty-seven thousand. The total number of Americans in that age group is 233 million. Again, dividing the deaths by the corresponding population gives you a probability of 0.00011, or one one-hundredth of one percent. A probability that small is often described as "not significantly different from zero."

Comparing the young and old age groups reveals that the 49 and younger age group's risk of COVID death is ninety times less than the 65 and older age group's.

There has been virtually no difference in policies in regard to various age groups. It has been the costliest application of a "one size fits all" approach ever.

There would have been far fewer deaths and much less disruption of our lives if the bulk of the attention had been focused on the over 65 age group. Rest homes should have been quarantined. Schools should never have been closed. Masks were unnecessary for anyone 50 or younger.

If health officials and the media had acted responsibly, they would have informed the public about these probabilities. They haven't even tried because their objective has been to raise anxiety, not reduce it.

Politicians and public health officials have a very low estimate of the intelligence of the general public and an extremely high (and unjustified) estimate of their own intelligence. They believe their deliberate concealment of facts is admirable.

We know far more now about the coronavirus than when it began, and what we know is very encouraging. Telling the public the truth, however, would expose health officials and the media for the politics behind their incompetence. They would have to admit that most of the pain and damage they've created has been totally unnecessary.

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The damage done by probability blindness

Ron Ross Ph.D. is a former economics professor and author of The Unbeatable Market. Ron resides in Arcata, California and is a founder of Premier Financial Group, a wealth management firm located in Eureka, California. He is a native of Tulsa, Oklahoma and can be reached at rossecon@gmail.com.

If you would like to comment on this or any other American Thinker article or post, we invite you to visit the American Thinker Forum at MeWe. There, you can converse with other American Thinker readers and comment freely (subject to MeWe's terms of use). The Forum will be fully populated and ready for comments by midday (Eastern time) each day.

Saturday, May 22, 2021

Remember when leftists were obsessed with self-esteem?

Why, in a few decades, has the left's obsession flipped from self-love to self-loathing, from pride to shame?

During the 1970s the "self-esteem movement" commenced. According to Wikipedia:

The underlying idea of the movement was that low self-esteem was the root of problems for individuals, making it the root of societal problems and dysfunctions. A leading figure of the movement, psychologist Nathaniel Branden, stated, "I cannot think of a single psychological problem from anxiety and depression to fear of intimacy or of success, to spouse battery or child molestation that is not traced back to the problem of low self-esteem."

As is the case with most obsessions of the left, the self-esteem movement soon faded into obscurity. You no longer hear much about it. The problem was not with the goal of self-esteem. It makes perfect sense that self-esteem and self-confidence are useful in living our lives. The problem was that the left tried to achieve it in its usual simple-minded, ham-handed style.

We can earn real self-esteem only by overcoming life's challenges and disappointments. In contrast, the self-esteem movement's solution was to make life easier for children and take the possibility of disappointment out of their lives. The results were grade inflation, participation trophies, fear of competition, elimination of standardized testing, trigger warnings, and micro-aggressions.

Consequently, our characters have grown weak and fragile. Our culture has grown morbidly obese. Universities overflow with "snowflakes" and "safe spaces." Ordinary debate is taboo.

Human nature evolved to cope with hardships much greater than those we face in today's world. Our instinctual responses to modern life are out of sync with current conditions.

When there are no hardships such as those we've evolved to endure, one response is to create imaginary ones. When we no longer need to worry about where our next meal is coming from, we invent and exaggerate distant and unproven specters — e.g., "catastrophic global warming." We then overreact to minor problems that our forebears would have laughed at. Psyches built for primitive survival ironically struggle to survive modern-day abundance, comfort, and long life expectancies.

The left's plan to bolster self-esteem by making everyone weaker did not work. It did, however, help Democrats in their never-ending quest for more power.

But even creating weakness has not satisfied the left. Leftists not only want us to be weak but also want us to loathe ourselves. A guilt-ridden, shamed citizenry is much easier to control and manipulate. Happy people do not want their lives to be controlled by other people — e.g., politicians. Furthermore, it's far easier to get people to hate themselves than to love themselves.

The left now tells us, in no uncertain terms, that we are despicable people who reside in an irredeemably racist country, a country with a history we should be deeply ashamed of.

Years ago, leftists' obsession was to instill self-esteem in people who didn't deserve it. Now it's to instill guilt in people who don't deserve it and victimhood in people who don't deserve it. It seems that all they care about is making sure that whatever anybody gets is undeserved.
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Remember when leftists were obsessed with self-esteem?

Ron Ross Ph.D. is a former economics professor and author of The Unbeatable Market. Ron resides in Arcata, California and is a founder of Premier Financial Group, a wealth management firm located in Eureka, California. He is a native of Tulsa, Oklahoma and can be reached at rossecon@gmail.com.

Frustrated wannabe authoritarians

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